Ohio Ag Weather and Forecast October 31, 2018

December 17, 2019

first_imgShare Facebook Twitter Google + LinkedIn Pinterest We are entering the first wet stage of our forecast today. Rains move across the state today through tomorrow and into the first part of Friday. The rains today may be heavier in the north and NW, but from tonight through early Friday, the heaviest precipitation will be in central and southern Ohio. It may take a little while for central and southern areas to see action today as the front marches east. However, rain is coming…be ready. Combined, we can see half to 2″ rainfall totals for this event with nearly 100% coverage. However, we have a concern that some areas near the Ohio river and in SW Ohio could blow well past that top end of the range, and see 3 inches or more. That all depends on where things set up overnight tonight through early Friday, and what kind of thunderstorm potential there is.Even after the bigger rains are done early Friday, we have plenty of clouds around. Precipitation is not guaranteed in all areas, but we think most of the clouds will come from wrap around on the backside of this strong storm complex. Because of that, we can’t completely rule out a scattered showers, but rain totals where it happens will be limited to an additional few hundredths to a quarter of an inch. Potential coverage will be 40% or less.The weekend now looks to turn out dry. We should be rain free for Saturday and Sunday, although we will have clouds still trying to move through. A significant warm up is likely for the weekend too, with temps above normal. Monday clouds start to thicken up again, and we could see a few scattered showers. These are not well organized and will have minor coverage, but we can’t rule them out at the moment. Some models even still try to bring our next rain event in on Monday already. However, our forecast holds off just a bit.Moderate to heavy rains are back for Monday overnight through Tuesday. The front looks significant, especially with the warm surge will experience in front of it over this weekend. That will promote rains of half to 1.5” over 100% of the state. After the rains of the next few days, that is definitely not needed, and will boost our 1 week rain totals significantly. Most of the state could see at least 1-3 inches, and SW Ohio is particularly at risk. The map at right shows total precipitation from today through next Tuesday night, and while we think the heaviest totals may be a bit overzealous, they are not out of the realm of possibility. A much cooler push of air follows that front in on the backside.Dry for the remainder of the week next week, Wednesday through Friday.The extended period still features good rains of .25”-1” over 70% of the state for the 10th and 11th, and then scattered showers up to .25” for the 14th. Temps will pull back to normal and below normal levels for that 11-16 day window.last_img

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